https://www.avient.com/sites/default/files/Avient Climate Change Scenario Analysis Summary 2022.pdf
CLIMATE-RELATED SCENARIOS ANALYZED
Global operations through 2050
PARAMETERS & ASSUMPTIONS
EXCEED
2.5°C
EXCEED
2.0°C
RETURN
BELOW
1.5°C
IMPACT DRIVER &
TIME HORIZON
NET ZERO FUTURE PLEDGING PROGRESS STEADFAST POLICY
Policy & Legal Risk
M L
Carbon pricing exposure in USA, China,
Germany and Spain
Fines and/or compliance measures:
· Clean electrification of operations;
· Emissions intensive equipment phase-out;
· Circular economic and materials efficiency
strategies;
· Net-zero carbon building standards;
· Mandatory energy management systems
and audits
Carbon pricing exposure in USA, China,
Germany, Spain, and Saudi Arabia
Increased fines and compliance measures
related to:
· Phase-outs aligned with Nationaly
Determined Contributions (NDC);
· Renewable energy sourcing;
· Material efficiency standards (minimum
recycled content for packaging, and
enhanced vechicle air quality)
Some regional carbon pricing exposure in
China, Germany and Spain
Technology Risk
S M
Capital expenditures to subsitute emissions
intensive technologies
Declining price point competitiveness
caused by decarbonization pass through
costs
R&D costs to transition to design and deploy
lower-emissions technologies
Slower substitution of materials with lower-
emission options
Market Risk
S M
Declining redundant supply and sourcing
more sustainably causes raw material costs
to rise
Customers demand to lower their scope 3
emissions from purchased goods and
services across all markets
Increasing competition from existing and
unforeseen polymer and non-polymer-
based products that reduce further impact
on climate
Customer behaviors from advanced
economies demand lower carbon products
Rising degree of uncertainty in raw material
prices
Slow customer behavior changes in some
advanced economies
High degree of uncertainty in energy market
signals
Reputation Risk
L
Chemical sector or certain petrochemical
materials (i.e., plastics) stigmatized
Rising expectations for rapid innovation and
displacement of older, heavily carbon-
intensive designs and manufacturing
processes
NDC countries expected to innovate and
seek rapid minimization of customers' scope
3 emissions
Increased concern from stakeholders for not
addressing climate change globally or for
the chemicals sector
Acute & Chronic Risk
L
Possible direct damage to fixed assets and
logistics disruptions in both our value chain
and operations
More frequent and intense weather events
and changing preciptation patterns are likely
to damage manufaturing faciliites, disrupt
logistics and sourcing activities, and
negatively affect employee health and
communities where we operate
More frequent and intense weather events
and changing preciptation patterns are likely
to affect the performance of grids and
thermal plants while pushing up demand for
cooling, damage fixed assets, disrupt
logistics and sourcing activities, and
negatively affect employee health and
communities where we operate
IMPACT DRIVER &
TIME HORIZON
NET ZERO FUTURE PLEDGING PROGRESS STEADFAST POLICY
Resource
Efficiency
Opportunity
S M L
More efficient production and distribution
processes, reduced natural resource usage,
continued use of recycling, and inclusion of
recycled materials in our products such as
reSound
TM
R, ColorMatrix™ Capture™
Oxygen Scavenger, among others will
contribute to increasing product revenues
and reduced operating costs
Resource efficiency efforts supported by
capital allocation in NDC countries is more
likely and may accelerate a path toward
maximizing ROI and reducing operating
costs
Less regulatory and pressure to incentivize
may cause gains from efforts to lag
Energy Source
Opportunity
M L
Use of greater external financing options,
such as operating lease arrangements or
energy performance shared savings
contracts, to source lower emission-energy
and new technologies, such as carbon
capture, utilization & storage (CCUS), in our
operations may reduce operating costs and
maximize returns on investment
Use of lower emission-sources of energy in
operations will lower operating costs and
contribute toward reductions of our scope 1
and 2 emissions and product carbon
intensities
Use of renewable energy, increased
efficiency, and electrification initiatives will
lower operating costs and contribute toward
reductions of our scope 1 and 2 emissions
and product carbon intensities.
We are positioned to capture
enhanced market share over expanding and
emerging needs that will also enable climate
resiliency
High revenue growth opportunities to meet
demand for highly efficient chemical
materials that will contribute to lowering
customers' emissions as part of our
Sustainable Solutions label
High to moderate revenue growth
opportunities for new chemical materials
pertinent to Avient's customers' strategies
(low-carbon and otherwise) and are in
compliance with any existing regulations
(i.e., VOC reducing materials that address
vehicle air quality standards)
Impact Legend Time horizon Legend
Low impact S - short-term 0-5 years
Moderate impact M - medium-term 5-15 years
High impact L - long-term 15-30 years
BUSINESS IMPLICATIONS AND STRATEGIC RESPONSES
BUSINESS IMPLICATIONS AND STRATEGIC RESPONSES
IMPACT DRIVER &
TIME HORIZON
Policy & Legal Risk
M L
Technology Risk
S M
Market Risk
S M
Reputation Risk
L
Acute & Chronic Risk
L
IMPACT DRIVER &
TIME HORIZON
Resource
Efficiency
Opportunity
S M L
Energy Source
Opportunity
M L
Products &
Services and
Markets Opportunities
S M L
· We have embedded an energy intensity KPI (covering process and builidng efficiencies) into the incentive structure for all employees